Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.000127 0.000140 0.000153 0.000169 0.000186 0.000205 0.000226
2025-11-23 0.000100 0.000118 0.000139 0.000165 0.000196 0.000233 0.000280
2025-11-30 0.000087 0.000108 0.000133 0.000167 0.000211 0.000266 0.000342
2025-12-07 0.000078 0.000101 0.000130 0.000171 0.000226 0.000300 0.000407
2025-12-14 0.000069 0.000092 0.000123 0.000167 0.000231 0.000320 0.000455
2025-12-21 0.000060 0.000083 0.000115 0.000161 0.000230 0.000331 0.000492
2025-12-28 0.000056 0.000079 0.000112 0.000162 0.000240 0.000357 0.000552
2026-01-04 0.000052 0.000075 0.000109 0.000163 0.000249 0.000384 0.000618
2026-01-11 0.000048 0.000071 0.000105 0.000161 0.000253 0.000401 0.000670
2026-01-18 0.000045 0.000068 0.000103 0.000162 0.000261 0.000427 0.000738
2026-01-25 0.000042 0.000064 0.000099 0.000159 0.000263 0.000443 0.000792
2026-02-01 0.000039 0.000062 0.000097 0.000160 0.000271 0.000468 0.000864
2026-02-08 0.000037 0.000058 0.000094 0.000157 0.000274 0.000487 0.000930
2026-02-15 0.000034 0.000055 0.000089 0.000153 0.000273 0.000499 0.000985
2026-02-22 0.000032 0.000053 0.000089 0.000156 0.000285 0.000535 0.001095
2026-03-01 0.000031 0.000052 0.000088 0.000159 0.000298 0.000577 0.001225
2026-03-08 0.000029 0.000049 0.000085 0.000156 0.000299 0.000593 0.001298
2026-03-15 0.000027 0.000046 0.000081 0.000150 0.000293 0.000596 0.001341
2026-03-22 0.000025 0.000045 0.000080 0.000151 0.000302 0.000629 0.001462
2026-03-29 0.000024 0.000044 0.000079 0.000152 0.000311 0.000665 0.001598
2026-04-05 0.000023 0.000042 0.000076 0.000150 0.000312 0.000684 0.001691
2026-04-12 0.000022 0.000040 0.000075 0.000150 0.000320 0.000718 0.001832
2026-04-19 0.000021 0.000039 0.000073 0.000148 0.000321 0.000737 0.001934